The aviation industry has a long-term logic, and the Spring Festival travel rush may catalyze optimistic expectations, maintaining the aviation increase rating. The Chinese aviation industry has a profit center that has risen beyond expectations. The trend of supply and demand recovery in 2025 is determined. Considering the marketization of ticket prices and the significant slowdown in fleet growth, it is expected that the profit center will start to rise. It is expected that there will be strong demand for the Spring Festival travel rush in 2025, and overtime during the rush may be limited. The industry expects optimistic supply and demand, coupled with improved oil price pressure, which is expected to demonstrate unexpected profit elasticity and catalyze optimistic expectations. The market's expectations for the logic of airline pilots are still at a low level, and the greater the divergence, the greater the space. As the second normalized Spring Festival travel rush after the epidemic, the 2025 Spring Festival travel rush will add one day to the Spring Festival holiday and can be combined with a long holiday. It is expected that the demand for Spring Festival travel will be strong, and the passenger volume of civil aviation may reach a new historical high.